BAGHDAD, March 31 (Xinhua) -- Iraq faces a number of uncertainties before a new political map of the country is drawn for the next four years, as two leading blocs in the March 7 parliamentary elections are vying for government formation amid wrangling.
Former interim prime minister Ayad Allawi's Iraqia List may encounter a new setback, as a commission is moving to disqualify six seat winning candidates over alleged links to the outlawed Baath party. And some of them are reportedly members of his bloc.
Officials with the Accountability and Justice Commission, previously known as the De-Baathificatiom committee, said Monday the banned would-be lawmakers would not be replaced and the votes they won would be annulled. The new candidacy row will rely on an appeals panel to solve, although independent electoral officials refuted the commission, saying they could be replaced by their parties.
In the new 325-member legislature, Allawi's Iraqia List won 91 seats, two more than the State of Law coalition led by incumbent Prime Minister Nuri Al-Maliki, who is seeking a second term, according to the preliminary results announced last Friday.
If the disqualifications are approved by court, Allawi may lose his slender victory. In case of this, Maliki's bloc will get a bigger chance to set up a new coalition filling up a required majority of parliamentary seats for government formation.
Before the election, the vetting commission dominated by Shiite politicians with the Iraqi National Alliance (INA), barred several hundred candidates from running in the election because of their alleged Baath party links. The banned politicians included Saleh al-Mutlaq, whose National Dialogue Front is a key Sunni faction in the Iraqia List.
Immediately after the poll results were announced, the Iraqia List said it opened to all parties for talks to form a coalition government. But in reality, its rivals seem to have attempted to isolate Allawi, judging from reported meetings between the State of Law and the INA's major parties.
Analysts say it is also difficult for Allawi to ally with the Kurdish Alliance as many Kurds dislike some of the Iraqia List's nationalist members.
Maliki has said the results were not final and demanded a recount. A State of Law member reportedly said Wednesday the bloc had filed a complaint asking for a recount in Baghdad and northern Mosul, where rival Allawi fared well in the election.
It is widely seen as unfavorable to the Iraqia List that Iraqi Supreme Court recently ruled that the "largest bloc" to form the government can be a coalition that emerges after the election. The country's Constitution does not state clearly whether the "largest bloc" is the one who wins the most seats or not.
The Sunni minority group in the country has felt being politically marginalized after the downfall of Saddam Hussein's regime in the 2003 U.S.-led war. This in part led to sectarian violence which peaked in 2006 and 2007, leaving tens of thousands dead.
As a sign of tension, dozens have been killed in bombings in Diyala, Anbar and Karbala provinces in the past few days.
Along with Shiite voters who expect new political faces to emerge, many Sunnis have pinned their hopes on secular Allawi for more political say. If the Iraqia List fails to live up to these expectations and gets little in the new power landscape, hopeful Sunnis will feel disenfranchised again. A return to sectarian violence is not impossible. |